Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76%. Yes opened at 49% on 15 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 15 Mar 2026 to 28 Mar 2026, the highest close was 95.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 49% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 86.5% on 16 Mar 2026. $1.28M traded over the market's life.
148 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 10:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 15 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | 49.0% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 76.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| forestevil | No | 50K |
| tomsir | No | 42.87K |
| Menacing-Barstool | No | 30K |
| Road2Glory | No | 5.4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of EdgeX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If EdgeX doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/edgex-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
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