Latest trade
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:58 AM UTC.
Analytics
Good-Birdwatcher has made $40.08 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-14 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 20, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:58 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Oct 17, 2026 UTC to Oct 20, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 36.85 | $0.730 | $32.98 | +$6.08 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.730 | $0.97 | 6h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-14 09:51 UTC
Polymarket public position response
25 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 02:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 02:58 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-14 09:51 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $119.49 and losing ones cost $70.69 across the latest 50 settled positions. 74% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $14.34 on “Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $15.33 on “US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Oct 2026. It has traded 195 markets. Its open positions are worth $183.58 across 25 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 37.22 |
| $0.733 |
| $26.99 |
| -$0.31 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | No | 20.01 | $0.795 | $18.31 | +$2.4 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 15 | $0.840 | $13.58 | +$0.98 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 15 | $0.850 | $13.43 | +$0.68 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.930 | $9.35 | +$0.05 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 10.01 | $0.760 | $7.86 | +$0.25 |
 Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.620 | $6.25 | +$0.05 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 22.5 | $0.360 | $5.4 | -$2.7 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
 Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.910 | $4.68 | +$0.13 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31? | No | 10 | $0.455 | $4.45 | -$0.1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.740 | $4.4 | +$0.7 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.180 | $3.62 | -$0.88 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 17.56 | $0.399 | $3.42 | -$3.58 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20.01 | $0.274 | $3.25 | -$2.23 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.01 | $0.630 | $3.23 | +$0.08 |
 Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026? | No | 9.96 | $0.502 | $2.64 | -$2.36 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 28.9 | $0.173 | $2.6 | -$2.4 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.67 | $0.364 | $2.51 | -$1.74 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.450 | $2.1 | -$0.15 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.500 | $2.08 | -$0.43 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10 | $0.190 | $2.01 | +$0.1 |
 Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | No | 10 | $0.220 | $1.75 | -$0.45 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10 | $0.130 | $1.45 | +$0.15 |
| sell |
| 2.08 |
| $0.999 |
| $2.08 |
| 6h ago |
 Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.999 | $2.1 | 6h ago |
| Exact Score: Levante UD 2 - 2 Athletic Club?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.937 | $0.99 | 6h ago |
 Will Northampton Town FC win on 2026-10-20?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 6h ago |
| Will Shrewsbury Town FC win on 2026-10-20?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 6h ago |
 Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2026-10-20?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | 6h ago |
| Will Barnet FC win on 2026-10-20?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 7h ago |
| Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | 7h ago |
| Will Wadi Degla SC vs. National Bank of Egypt Club end in a draw?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.930 | $1.13 | 7h ago |
| Will National Bank of Egypt Club win on 2026-10-20?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.940 | $1.2 | 7h ago |
| Will Wadi Degla SC vs. National Bank of Egypt Club end in a draw?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 8h ago |
| Will National Bank of Egypt Club win on 2026-10-20?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 8h ago |
| Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-10-20?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | 9h ago |
 Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-20?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.952 | $2 | 9h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 1d ago |
 Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-10-19?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-19?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-10-19?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | 2d ago |
| Exact Score: Levante UD 2 - 2 Athletic Club?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 0 Sevilla FC?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Wydad Sportif Témara win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Deportivo Saprissa win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.999 | $1.07 | 2d ago |
 Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-10-18?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.999 | $5.19 | 2d ago |
 Will FK Spartak Moskva vs. FK Rubin Kazan end in a draw?No | sell | 10.23 | $0.999 | $10.22 | 2d ago |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-10-18?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.872 | $0.99 | 2d ago |
| Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.876 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-18?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.980 | $1.18 | 2d ago |
| Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | 2d ago |
| Will FK Spartak Moskva vs. FK Rubin Kazan end in a draw?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.977 | $10 | 2d ago |
| Will FC Groningen vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No | sell | 5.43 | $0.999 | $5.42 | 2d ago |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-18?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.910 | $1.19 | 2d ago |
 Will Orgryte IS vs. GAIS end in a draw?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will FC Groningen vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | 2d ago |
 Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. SK Brann end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-18?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.560 | $0.72 | 3d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.