Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.260 | $2.42 | -$7.58 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | May 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 29.41 |
| $0.170 |
| $0.9 |
| -$4.1 |
| buy |
| 21.9 |
| $0.810 |
| $17.74 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?Up | buy | 61.01 | $0.033 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes | buy | 73.42 | $0.063 | $4.63 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 32.68 | $0.918 | $30 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.117 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 6.49 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETUp | sell | 15.33 | $0.990 | $15.18 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 15.29 | $0.130 | $1.99 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 44.6 | $0.810 | $36.13 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?No | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.372 | $4.9 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | sell | 238.81 | $0.039 | $9.31 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump not sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill by November 29?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.054 | $3 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1No | sell | 12.76 | $0.988 | $12.61 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 56.18 | $0.534 | $30 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.024 | $3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.490 | $21.3 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1No | buy | 12.77 | $0.783 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?No | buy | 172.68 | $0.029 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 31.8 | $0.881 | $28.02 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 238.82 | $0.042 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.54K | $0.013 | $20 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |