Latest trade
May 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:39 PM UTC.
Analytics
Composed-Trouble is down $101.12 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-08 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 11:39 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 43 trades covered 37 markets; 88.4% were buys. They run from Oct 29, 2025 UTC to May 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $1.07 | -$3.93 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-08 15:44 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 23:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
43 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 23:39 UTC
polymarket positions
12 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-08 15:44 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $51.35 and losing ones cost $5.78 across 11 settled positions. 72.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15 on “Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?” (No); the largest loss, $5 on “Epstein client list released in 2025?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 May 2026. It has traded 37 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.82 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 38.46 |
| $0.260 |
| $0.75 |
| -$9.25 |
| buy |
| 21.9 |
| $0.810 |
| $17.74 |
| Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?Up | buy | 61.01 | $0.033 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes | buy | 73.42 | $0.063 | $4.63 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 32.68 | $0.918 | $30 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.117 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp | buy | 6.49 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETUp | sell | 15.33 | $0.990 | $15.18 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETUp | buy | 15.29 | $0.130 | $1.99 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 44.6 | $0.810 | $36.13 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?No | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Dec 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.372 | $4.9 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | sell | 238.81 | $0.039 | $9.31 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Nov 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump not sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill by November 29?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.054 | $3 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
 House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
| House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Nov 13, 2025 UTC |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1No | sell | 12.76 | $0.988 | $12.61 | Nov 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 56.18 | $0.534 | $30 | Nov 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.024 | $3 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.490 | $21.3 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1No | buy | 12.77 | $0.783 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?No | buy | 172.68 | $0.029 | $5 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 31.8 | $0.881 | $28.02 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 238.82 | $0.042 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.54K | $0.013 | $20 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.