Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?

Resolved

Yes, settled Nov 28, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$176.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Nov 28, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 28 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 69.5%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 28 Nov 2025, the highest close was 72.5% on 14 Nov 2025 and the lowest 46% on 23 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 65% on 26 Nov 2025. $176.3K traded over the market's life.

147 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 29, 4:27 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 28 Nov 2025, chart shows 40%–80%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Nov 2025	72.5%
28 Nov 2025	69.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Paida3	No	10K
Keen Oracle 60E1	No	8.32K
Wizardofaus	No	2.63K
sorarespam	No	1.57K

10 of 147 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 1,551,896 on November 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of November 27, 2025. Any subsequent revisions published to data for this date will not be considered. If no data for November 27 is published by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.