Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?Yes | buy | 135.34 | $0.459 | $62.16 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 712.08 |
| $0.983 |
| $700.32 |
| Nov 28, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | sell | 255.06 | $0.540 | $137.73 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Germany confidence vote in 2024?No | buy | 267.65 | $0.365 | $97.61 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | buy | 255.06 | $0.395 | $100.75 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.713 | $1.08K | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?Yes | buy | 175.47 | $0.888 | $155.77 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump win no swing states?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 150 | $0.810 | $121.5 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Did Ye cheat on Bianca?No | buy | 60 | $0.830 | $49.8 | Oct 9, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?No | buy | 63.78 | $0.859 | $54.79 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?No | buy | 74.87 | $0.935 | $70 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Base airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.930 | $30 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Tax" 20 or more times during Wisconsin rally?No | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 20 or more times during Wisconsin rally?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Border" 30 or more times during Wisconsin rally?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Wisconsin rally?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "JD", "Vance", or "JD Vance" during Wisconsin rally?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "illegal alien" during Wisconsin rally?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Biden COVID free by next Friday?No | buy | 40 | $0.190 | $7.6 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.210 | $18.9 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 100 | $0.165 | $16.5 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Jumper airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?No | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Keycat reach $1b first?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.005 | $4 | May 26, 2024 |
 Will TOSHI reach $1b first?Yes | buy | 354 | $0.010 | $3.54 | May 26, 2024 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | May 24, 2024 |
 Will ETH hit $4k by Friday?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | May 24, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.380 | $50 | May 24, 2024 |
 Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | May 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump mention $boden before July?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.080 | $2.5 | Apr 6, 2024 |
 TikTok/UMG deal before March?No | buy | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Will Daniel Alegre change pfp by April 1?No | buy | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Blast launch delayed?No | buy | 40 | $0.960 | $38.4 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Will the crypto market cap be between 1.9 trillion and 2 trillion on March 1?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Feb 27, 2024 |
| Will the crypto market cap be between 1.8 trillion and 1.9 trillion on March 1?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Feb 27, 2024 |
 Will Trump mention Border the most in South Carolina speech?No | buy | 56.7 | $0.800 | $45.36 | Feb 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump mention Border the most in South Carolina speech?No | buy | 519.43 | $0.799 | $415.04 | Feb 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump mention Biden the most in South Carolina speech?Yes | buy | 229.69 | $0.595 | $136.6 | Feb 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump mention Biden the most in South Carolina speech?Yes | buy | 645.31 | $0.489 | $315.65 | Feb 26, 2024 |
| Will Trump mention Border the most in South Carolina speech?No | buy | 750 | $0.466 | $349.5 | Feb 26, 2024 |
 Parcl airdrop by June 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | Feb 26, 2024 |