Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 8 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2024 to 1 Nov 2024, the highest close was 40% on 20 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 40% on 20 Oct 2024. $42.34K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 6:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 8 Oct 2024 – 1 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2024 | 14.5% |
| 1 Nov 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence is made public by October 31, 11:59 PM ET, that Ye/Kanye West engaged in sexual relations with anyone other than his wife, Bianca Censori, during the couple's marriage. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Confirmation from either Ye or Censori will qualify as "definitive evidence". The resolution source for this market will be statements made by Ye, Censori, or their official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/did-ye-cheat-on-bianca
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| micker | Yes | 9.17 |
| colds | Yes | 8.33 |
| later3 | Yes | 3.75 |
| jeffthegambler | Yes | 2.56 |
| lousd | No | 1.11 |
| tukinguyen | Yes | 0.08 |
