Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 3 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2024 to 1 Mar 2024, the highest close was 44% on 5 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 33% on 6 Feb 2024. $43.62K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 6:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 3 Feb 2024 – 1 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2024 | 35.5% |
| 1 Mar 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if TikTok and Universal Music Group (UMG) agree by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET to a deal which would permit music by UMG artists to appear on TikTok again. Note: An announcement before the resolution date of an agreement/deal will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the agreement/deal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok and UMG, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tiktokumg-deal-before-march
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