Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3.15K | $0.432 | $2.7K | +$1.33K |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 7.32K | $0.001 | $7.32 | Apr 24, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 861.17 |
| $0.393 |
| $219.6 |
| -$119.15 |
 Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | No | 179.13 | $0.847 | $168.65 | +$16.98 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.301 | $143 | -$188 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.031 | $102.3 | +$59.01 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 813.9 | $0.175 | $77.32 | -$65.04 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 4.43K | $0.025 | $64.18 | -$47.01 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 361.62 | $0.649 | $56.05 | -$178.73 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.39K | $0.014 | $52.58 | +$5.15 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 679.22 | $0.028 | $42.45 | +$23.48 |
 Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 3.82K | $0.011 | $42.06 | -$0.58 |
| Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 539.82 | $0.004 | $9.18 | +$7.1 |
| Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 56.6 | $0.001 | $8.97 | +$8.91 |
 Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 3.99K | $0.025 | $7.98 | -$93.45 |
 Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 3.61K | $0.007 | $7.22 | -$19.31 |
 Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.017 | $6.5 | -$2 |
 Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.007 | $4.2 | +$2.88 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1.94K | $0.011 | $2.91 | -$18.86 |
 Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1.58K | $0.006 | $2.37 | -$7.1 |
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | Yes | 15.46 | $0.270 | $2.24 | -$1.93 |
 Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 26.29 | $0.033 | $1.83 | +$0.96 |
 Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1.13K | $0.011 | $1.69 | -$10.7 |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 11.01 | $0.004 | $1.64 | +$1.59 |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? | Yes | 14.45 | $0.157 | $1.37 | -$0.9 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 152.45 | $0.004 | $0.23 | -$0.38 |
| buy |
| 17.87K |
| $0.001 |
| $17.87 |
| Apr 24, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?Down | buy | 140.64 | $0.220 | $30.94 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?Down | buy | 14.77 | $0.040 | $0.59 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 2.42K | $0.019 | $46.89 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 595.54 | $0.014 | $8.13 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.055 | $11 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 115.3 | $0.050 | $5.75 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.021 | $23.51 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 687.37 | $0.009 | $6.19 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 17.58K | $0.004 | $70.06 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 251.94 | $0.008 | $1.95 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 183.82 | $0.020 | $3.7 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No | buy | 96.58 | $0.026 | $2.52 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 190.13 | $0.028 | $5.31 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.85 | $0.028 | $1.54 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.98 | $0.028 | $1.12 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.012 | $0.33 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 145 | $0.121 | $17.54 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 315.18 | $0.005 | $1.58 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.290 | $98.6 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 363.37 | $0.001 | $0.36 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.110 | $1.39 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 260 | $0.019 | $4.94 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?No | buy | 18.76 | $0.380 | $7.13 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will Francisco Trincão record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 73.1 | $0.069 | $5.03 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?Yes | buy | 175.93 | $0.111 | $19.47 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.567 | $56.7 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | buy | 174.3 | $0.394 | $68.63 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No | buy | 160 | $0.030 | $4.8 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.040 | $16 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 245.49 | $0.002 | $0.49 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 182.74 | $0.010 | $1.83 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 290.81 | $0.140 | $40.71 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 386.3 | $0.140 | $54.08 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 387.36 | $0.990 | $383.49 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 140.89 | $0.077 | $10.85 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.640 | $128 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 200.1 | $0.370 | $74.04 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 198.7 | $0.240 | $47.69 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 356.07 | $0.003 | $1.07 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?No | buy | 45 | $0.986 | $44.37 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.120 | $24 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Francisco Trincão record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 150.08 | $0.024 | $3.53 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.030 | $2.28 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 228.84 | $0.031 | $7 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?No | buy | 38.62 | $0.966 | $37.31 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?Yes | buy | 48.17 | $0.540 | $26.01 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?Yes | buy | 97.86 | $0.470 | $45.99 | Mar 27, 2026 |