Analytics
Trading ended on 24 Nov 2025 with Yes at 3.7%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 320 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (38 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48% on 8 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Nov 2025. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.3%; a month before, 0.7%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 35% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner”.
$26.76K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is planktonXD with 1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.3K. Ten wallets hold 67.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 12:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 320 points, 8 Nov 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 48.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.32K |
| check12345 | No | 2.52K |
| planktonXD | Yes | 1.04K |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/guinea-bissau-national-peoples-assembly-election-winner
| FrozenParasite |
| Yes |
| 819.82 |
| donthackme | Yes | 624.09 |
| atomicannie | Yes | 539.82 |
| Aman8808 | Yes | 322.36 |
| fashionparty | Yes | 268.82 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 257.83 |
| Keen Tide D4AB | No | 251.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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