Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 57.47 | $0.870 | $54.31 | +$4.31 |
 US defaults on debt by 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?No | buy | 20.22 | $0.989 | $20 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.967 |
| $48.48 |
| +$0.13 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 32.68 | $0.918 | $30.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 26.21 | $0.828 | $25.41 | +$3.7 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 25.22 | $0.989 | $25.05 | +$0.11 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 25.69 | $0.973 | $25.01 | +$0.01 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 26.5 | $0.755 | $24.51 | +$4.51 |
 OPEC dissolves in 2026? | No | 22.22 | $0.900 | $21.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 22 | $0.950 | $21.24 | +$0.34 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 16.16 | $0.928 | $14.39 | -$0.61 |
| EU debt downgrade before 2027? | No | 18 | $0.830 | $12.87 | -$2.08 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 11.67 | $0.968 | $11.26 | -$0.04 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10.28 | +$0.28 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 6.06 | $0.330 | $5.39 | +$3.39 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | Yes | 7.46 | $0.670 | $4.96 | -$0.04 |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? | No | 5.02 | $0.870 | $4.4 | +$0.03 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5 | $0.400 | $1.93 | -$0.08 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $1.67 | -$0.33 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.77 | -$0.23 |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 500 | $0.002 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.680 |
| $4.08 |
| 8d ago |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.003 | $0.01 | 10d ago |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 25.22 | $0.989 | $24.94 | 11d ago |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.996 | $24.9 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 11.67 | $0.968 | $11.3 | 11d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.870 | $4.37 | 11d ago |
| Will Julián Álvarez (Atlético Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.995 | $5.28 | 11d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will Julián Álvarez (Atlético Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | 17d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 22?Yes | buy | 226.39 | $0.004 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 22?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.007 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 22?Yes | buy | 18.35 | $0.055 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 22?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.133 | $1 | 19d ago |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.120 | $6.67 | 19d ago |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | sell | 14.99 | $0.840 | $12.59 | 20d ago |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 25.69 | $0.973 | $25 | 20d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 16.16 | $0.928 | $15 | 20d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.9 | $0.930 | $12 | 20d ago |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.03 | $0.920 | $9.23 | 20d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.850 | $12.75 | 20d ago |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.975 | $48.75 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.710 | $10.64 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?Yes | sell | 49.1 | $0.994 | $48.81 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.330 | $2.06 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.460 | $2.88 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.991 | $0.99 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.78 | $0.910 | $18 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.123 | $1.37 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.339 | $6.65 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceArgentina | sell | 5.37 | $0.932 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | sell | 5.81 | $0.040 | $0.23 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.950 | $20.9 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.967 | $48.35 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| EU debt downgrade before 2027?No | buy | 12 | $0.906 | $10.87 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.983 | $9.83 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jun 24, 2026 |