Latest trade
Feb 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 7:11 PM UTC.
Analytics
margarella has made $1.76 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 32 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Feb 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 7:11 PM UTC.
$1.43 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 31 markets; 62.0% were buys. They run from Oct 24, 2024 UTC to Feb 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.65 | $0.910 | $1.57 | +$0.07 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.910 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-04 18:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 19:11 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 19:11 UTC
polymarket positions
33 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-04 18:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $5.51 and losing ones cost $3.75 across 32 settled positions. 53.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.08 on “Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?” (No); the largest loss, $1 on “Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Feb 2026. It has traded 31 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.57 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 1.3 |
| $0.770 |
| $1 |
| Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
 US bank failure by November 30?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.987 | $2.5 | Oct 15, 2025 UTC |
 Another NATO article 4 by October 15?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Oct 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.29 | $0.875 | $2 | Oct 1, 2025 UTC |
 Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?No | sell | 2.46 | $0.996 | $2.45 | Oct 1, 2025 UTC |
| Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.556 | $1.37 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will JLP (Jamaica Labour Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 1.7 | $0.710 | $1.21 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Blue Jays vs. PiratesBlue Jays | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 UTC |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3 | Apr 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ukraine control Grafovka on March 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Mar 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on March 20?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Mar 18, 2025 UTC |
 Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?No | buy | 2.42 | $0.660 | $1.6 | Mar 2, 2025 UTC |
 Bank of England rate cut in March meeting?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.920 | $1.29 | Feb 27, 2025 UTC |
| Bank of England rate cut in March meeting?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Feb 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.870 | $2.6 | Jan 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.550 | $0.58 | Dec 8, 2024 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.570 | $0.6 | Dec 4, 2024 UTC |
 Will John Mahama be the next President of Ghana?Yes | sell | 0.55 | $0.922 | $0.51 | Dec 4, 2024 UTC |
| Will John Mahama be the next President of Ghana?Yes | buy | 0.56 | $0.810 | $0.45 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.972 | $1.49 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?No | sell | 0.55 | $0.900 | $0.5 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?No | buy | 0.56 | $0.900 | $0.5 | Nov 26, 2024 UTC |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.975 | $1.5 | Nov 26, 2024 UTC |
 Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2024?No | sell | 0.65 | $0.946 | $0.61 | Nov 25, 2024 UTC |
| Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 0.66 | $0.957 | $0.63 | Nov 23, 2024 UTC |
 Will the November 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.39°C?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.979 | $1.1 | Nov 22, 2024 UTC |
| Will the November 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.39°C?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.980 | $1.1 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.965 | $1.52 | Nov 18, 2024 UTC |
| COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.971 | $1.53 | Nov 18, 2024 UTC |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?Yes | sell | 2.02 | $0.740 | $1.49 | Nov 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.973 | $1.49 | Nov 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.980 | $1.5 | Nov 17, 2024 UTC |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.740 | $1.5 | Nov 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.973 | $1.87 | Nov 12, 2024 UTC |
| Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.975 | $1.88 | Nov 12, 2024 UTC |
 Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.029 | $0.41 | Nov 8, 2024 UTC |
| Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.050 | $0.7 | Nov 8, 2024 UTC |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.15 | $0.900 | $1.04 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.910 | $1.05 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104No | sell | 1.23 | $0.800 | $0.98 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 257.02 | $0.373 | $95.87 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.371 | $3.97 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 246.31 | $0.371 | $91.38 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 51.46 | $0.373 | $19.19 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 68.12 | $0.373 | $25.41 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 68.15 | $0.373 | $25.42 | Oct 24, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.