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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 4.75 | $0.977 | $4.64 | -$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 4.75 | $0.977 | $4.64 | 2d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 5.07 |
| $0.971 |
| $4.92 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.955 | $4.85 | 10d ago |
 Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.64 | $0.952 | $4.42 | 10d ago |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.64 | $0.963 | $4.47 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.58 | $0.854 | $4.77 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.59 | $0.895 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?No | buy | 2.8 | $0.995 | $2.79 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.941 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.929 | $4.94 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No | sell | 3.73 | $0.987 | $3.68 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No | buy | 3.73 | $0.978 | $3.65 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.995 | $5.08 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.980 | $4.98 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No | sell | 5.18 | $0.962 | $4.98 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.959 | $4.97 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?No | buy | 4.97 | $0.987 | $4.91 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 29?No | buy | 4.9 | $0.999 | $4.9 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?No | buy | 4.9 | $0.990 | $4.85 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Washington change name to "Redskins" in 2025?No | buy | 4.85 | $0.999 | $4.85 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Meta (META) close at $610-$620 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.999 | $4.84 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by November 30?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.996 | $4.82 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Rocket Lab reach $90 in November?No | sell | 5.36 | $0.901 | $4.83 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Rocket Lab reach $90 in November?No | buy | 5.37 | $0.920 | $4.94 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?No | buy | 4.93 | $0.999 | $4.93 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.999 | $4.92 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 16?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.950 | $4.05 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 DeepSeek removed from App Store before March?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.988 | $1.23 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Did Luigi Mangione's parents have UnitedHealthCare?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.960 | $4.97 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 7.34 | $0.960 | $7.05 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.986 | $1.2 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.968 | $1.98 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.970 | $1.49 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.908 | $3.06 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 9.35K | $0.001 | $9.35 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 13.13K | $0.001 | $13.13 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will the Vancouver Whitecaps win the 2024 MLS Cup?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.992 | $1.88 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20.76K | $0.001 | $20.76 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?No | sell | 3.21K | $0.997 | $3.2K | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 3.21K | $0.998 | $3.2K | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?No | sell | 3.21K | $0.998 | $3.2K | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?No | buy | 3.21K | $0.999 | $3.2K | Oct 22, 2024 |
 2024 September hottest on record?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.989 | $1.87 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Solana above $145 on October 18?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,400 on October 18?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.999 | $1.26 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 0.58 | $0.968 | $0.56 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Solana above $145 on October 18?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.986 | $1.16 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Oct 18?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.998 | $1.8 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will another player win the Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.999 | $1.07 | Oct 13, 2024 |