Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 9.64 | $0.830 | $8 | 17d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 27.9 |
| $0.893 |
| $24.91 |
| 17d ago |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?No | buy | 27.9 | $0.896 | $25 | 17d ago |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.997 | $13 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 19.31 | $0.721 | $13.92 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 19.31 | $0.725 | $14 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 13.03 | $0.998 | $13 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 17.32 | $0.980 | $16.97 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 17.33 | $0.981 | $17 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.480 | $6 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 11.45 | $0.873 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 22.52 | $0.909 | $20.47 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 22.53 | $0.910 | $20.5 | May 25, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?No | buy | 14.45 | $0.969 | $14 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 23.78 | $0.911 | $21.66 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 23.78 | $0.912 | $21.69 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 ChatGPT Outage by March 27?No | buy | 13.1 | $0.840 | $11 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 22.17 | $0.911 | $20.2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 22.17 | $0.912 | $20.22 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in February 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.960 | $12 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | sell | 12.3 | $0.987 | $12.14 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 12.31 | $0.988 | $12.16 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.08 | $0.996 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 11.02 | $0.979 | $10.79 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.981 | $10.82 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 21.36 | $0.997 | $21.3 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 10.03 | $0.992 | $9.95 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.993 | $9.96 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of November?Yes | buy | 22.18 | $0.992 | $22 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.46 | $0.892 | $13.79 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.47 | $0.898 | $13.89 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 18.16 | $0.991 | $18 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 21.98 | $0.940 | $20.66 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 21.99 | $0.941 | $20.69 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.979 | $11 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 28.94 | $0.850 | $24.6 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 28.94 | $0.860 | $24.89 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 India strike on Pakistan by August 31?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.988 | $7 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 24.52 | $0.962 | $23.59 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 24.52 | $0.964 | $23.64 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 8.3 | $0.964 | $8 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | sell | 26.44 | $0.968 | $25.59 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 26.44 | $0.972 | $25.7 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Congress authorizes military force against Iran before July?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.992 | $6 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 65.67 | $0.390 | $25.61 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 65.68 | $0.400 | $26.27 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on May 21?Up | buy | 6.09 | $0.985 | $6 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 12.3 | $0.991 | $12.19 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 12.3 | $0.995 | $12.24 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.998 | $1.5K | Apr 21, 2025 |