Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 26.5% on 7 Feb 2026 and the low 0.1% on 27 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 8.5% on 11 Feb 2026. $23.28K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 26.5% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vacant-Luggage | Yes | 1.27K |
| 2d0rmeai | Yes | 1.09K |
| acal | Yes | 500 |
| 223dsfgsr | Yes | 370 |
| 11qqqwwww | Yes | 340 |
| coolwct | Yes | 300 |
| GenesisBlock | Yes | 279.2 |
| qq1111qq | Yes | 260 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 154 |
| Indigo Scout 6A3C | Yes | 115.49 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Rules
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-bitcoin-outperform-in-february
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