Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 1.16K | $0.004 | $1.74 | -$3.26 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | May 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 131.58 |
| $0.038 |
| $1.12 |
| -$3.88 |
| sell |
| 70.42 |
| $0.059 |
| $4.15 |
| May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.008 | $4 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?Yes | sell | 72.06 | $0.064 | $4.61 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.036 | $3 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?Yes | buy | 114.59 | $0.044 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 473.31 | $0.011 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 96.59 | $0.052 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 68.13 | $0.073 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≥4.1% in April?Yes | buy | 268.52 | $0.019 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Yes | buy | 256.25 | $0.020 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.038 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.004 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 70.42 | $0.071 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?Yes | buy | 72.07 | $0.069 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 290.52 | $0.017 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8K | $0.001 | $8 | May 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |