Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 70 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2026 to 10 Jun 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 6 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 7.5% on 26 Mar 2026. $14.85K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 11, 1:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 70 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 10 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 49.5% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.31K |
| Even-Stot | Yes | 3.12K |
| Critical-Sunbonnet-Feed | Yes | 758.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting. If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bank-of-canada-decision-in-june
| Yes |
| 560.22 |
| Chubby-Price | Yes | 473.31 |
| kingbetss | Yes | 314.08 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 298 |
| Indigo Vector 88C7 | Yes | 185.71 |
| ma99 | Yes | 163.35 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 163.17 |
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