Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.4K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 18% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 1 May 2026 to 1 Jun 2026, the highest close was 18% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 4.5% on 2 May 2026. $3.4K traded over the market's life.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 10:16 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 1 May 2026 – 1 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 May 2026	18.0%
1 Jun 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	396.71
Sociable-Hip	Yes	171.87
yiuyoo	Yes	145
Second-Hand-Presume	Yes	125

10 of 18 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.