Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.91K | $0.790 | $2.47K | +$174.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.591 | $295.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.24K |
| $0.733 |
| $1.06K |
| +$151.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 890 | $0.745 | $832.15 | +$169.05 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 710 | $0.718 | $670.95 | +$161.25 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 872.65 | $0.639 | $650.12 | +$92.51 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 546.83 | $0.623 | $455.23 | +$114.7 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 370 | $0.835 | $356.13 | +$47 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 350 | $0.869 | $341.95 | +$37.75 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 300 | $0.990 | $297.15 | +$0.15 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 229.99 | $0.889 | $218.61 | +$14.2 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 460 | $0.660 | $209.3 | -$94.2 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 240 | $0.845 | $207.6 | +$4.8 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.789 | $198.3 | +$40.4 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 220 | $0.915 | $195.91 | -$5.47 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 309.99 | $0.670 | $193.9 | -$13.79 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 220 | $0.703 | $173.8 | +$19.2 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 160 | $0.620 | $151.6 | +$52.4 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 179.99 | $0.570 | $141.29 | +$38.7 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 130 | $0.790 | $124.02 | +$21.32 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 130 | $0.780 | $121.55 | +$20.15 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 119.99 | $0.875 | $119.15 | +$14.16 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.866 | $111.54 | +$7.62 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 160 | $0.645 | $103.2 | $0 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 80 | $0.650 | $72.4 | +$20.4 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 80 | $0.700 | $68.8 | +$12.8 |
| sell |
| 270 |
| $0.401 |
| $108.27 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes | sell | 285 | $0.999 | $284.72 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?No | sell | 102.99 | $0.999 | $102.89 | May 31, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 900 | $0.997 | $897.3 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.999 | $129.87 | May 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.998 | $139.72 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.999 | $119.88 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.979 | $9.79 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13?No | sell | 500 | $0.998 | $499 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No | sell | 300 | $0.998 | $299.4 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | sell | 161.69 | $0.998 | $161.37 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 1K | $0.998 | $998 | Mar 2, 2026 |