Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | sell | 13.88 | $0.991 | $13.76 | Nov 12, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 13.88 |
| $0.997 |
| $13.84 |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.84 | $0.550 | $5.96 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.950 | $5.96 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.964 | $7.41 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Belarus win Intervision 2025?No | sell | 8.31 | $0.700 | $5.82 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Belarus win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 8.32 | $0.950 | $7.9 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will the red bloc win between 81 and 83 seats in the Norwegian election?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.971 | $5.97 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 2025 August second hottest on record?No | buy | 7.47 | $0.995 | $7.43 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?No | buy | 9.66 | $0.974 | $9.41 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.890 | $5.25 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.994 | $5.77 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.820 | $4.35 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.983 | $5.22 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.983 | $5.22 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?Yes | sell | 17.35 | $0.040 | $0.69 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?No | buy | 9.84 | $0.948 | $9.33 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?Yes | buy | 17.35 | $0.364 | $6.31 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will the US add less than 50k jobs in May?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.991 | $5.5 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will the US add less than 50k jobs in May?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.968 | $5.38 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?No | buy | 7.91 | $0.989 | $7.82 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?No | sell | 8.88 | $0.990 | $8.79 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?No | buy | 8.88 | $0.967 | $8.59 | May 27, 2025 |
 US military action on Yemen before June?No | sell | 10.22 | $0.031 | $0.32 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win by less than 5%?No | buy | 6.79 | $0.950 | $6.45 | May 22, 2025 |
| US military action on Yemen before June?No | buy | 10.23 | $0.976 | $9.98 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes | buy | 7.28 | $0.960 | $6.99 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 8.86 | $0.979 | $8.67 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | buy | 8.67 | $0.967 | $8.38 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.971 | $6.31 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 8.4 | $0.979 | $8.22 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Sali Berisha be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.976 | $8.96 | May 4, 2025 |
 Poilievre resigns as leader of Conservatives by Friday?No | buy | 7.97 | $0.950 | $7.57 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.930 | $5.83 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 India military strike on Pakistan today?No | buy | 9.7 | $0.961 | $9.32 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 60-61°F on April 18?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.992 | $7.47 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on April 17?No | buy | 6.29 | $0.920 | $5.79 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 57°F or below on April 17?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?Yes | buy | 10.95 | $0.974 | $10.67 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Oracle buy TikTok?No | buy | 26.37 | $0.790 | $20.83 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in April?No | sell | 352.09 | $0.998 | $351.39 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on April 5?No | buy | 25.06 | $0.810 | $20.3 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in April?No | buy | 352.09 | $0.999 | $351.74 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue an executive order on March 23?No | buy | 20.3 | $0.995 | $20.2 | Mar 24, 2025 |