Analytics
Resolved No on 3 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7% on 30 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2025 to 3 May 2025, the highest close was 7% on 30 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 May 2025. $73.11K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 30 Apr 2025 – 3 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2025 | 7.0% |
| 3 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 20.3K |
| thathompson | Yes | 148.13 |
| TheDavid | Yes | 19.66 |
| thoth777 | Yes | 11.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre announces he is resigning as head of the Conservative Party of Canada or otherwise ceases to be head of the Conservative Party of Canada for any length of time between April 28, and May 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pierre Poilievre or the Conservative Party of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pierre-poilievre-resigns-as-leader-of-conservatives-by-friday
| screebodeebo | No | 5.02 |
| Karekken | No | 0.01 |
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