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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 5.23 | $0.780 | $4.08 | Dec 17, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.560 |
| $5.6 |
| Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out EditionNo | buy | 30 | $0.038 | $1.14 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionNo | buy | 25 | $0.042 | $1.05 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of December?No | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.410 | $1.43 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionNo | sell | 13 | $0.110 | $1.43 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.231 | $2.37 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November?No | buy | 19.4 | $0.440 | $8.54 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (November 17 – 23)No | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA say "Talent" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on November 14?Up | sell | 7 | $0.006 | $0.04 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionNo | buy | 13 | $0.080 | $1.04 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon EditionNo | sell | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon EditionNo | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?No | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4PM ETDown | buy | 34 | $0.030 | $1.02 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during executive order signing events on November 13?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November?No | buy | 6.84 | $0.180 | $1.23 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November?No | buy | 30 | $0.090 | $2.7 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during executive order signing events on November 13?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Be Best" during executive order signing events on November 13?No | buy | 8 | $0.010 | $0.08 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?Up | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?Down | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | May 30, 2025 |
 Will Ross Ulbricht say "A.I / Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Ross Ulbricht say "Pardon / Pardoned" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | May 30, 2025 |
| Will Ross Ulbricht say "Coin" 25+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | May 30, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Ross Ulbricht say "Coin" 25+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Ross Ulbricht say "A.I / Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Ross Ulbricht say "Memecoin" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Ross Ulbricht say "America" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Ross Ulbricht say "Pardon / Pardoned" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Egg" during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 10+ times during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | May 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?Down | sell | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | May 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?Down | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during West Point Commencement on May 24?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | May 24, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 24?Down | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 30.6 | $0.860 | $26.32 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Baby" this week?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.030 | $0.15 | May 23, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.390 | $6.72 | May 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?Down | sell | 57.83 | $0.023 | $1.33 | May 22, 2025 |