Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.138 | $13.82 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 93.44 |
| $0.360 |
| $33.64 |
| Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 82.59 | $0.310 | $25.6 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will the Democratic ticket be all male?No | sell | 750.44 | $0.992 | $744.44 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | sell | 30 | $0.400 | $12 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?No | buy | 60 | $0.019 | $1.14 | Jul 28, 2024 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 82.59 | $0.320 | $26.43 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.310 | $26.35 | Jul 27, 2024 |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Democratic | buy | 30 | $0.380 | $11.4 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic ticket be all male?No | buy | 39 | $0.985 | $38.42 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic ticket be all male?No | buy | 60 | $0.985 | $59.1 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic ticket be all male?No | buy | 400 | $0.985 | $394 | Jul 25, 2024 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 178.45 | $0.392 | $70 | Jul 23, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic ticket be all male?No | buy | 103 | $0.970 | $99.91 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will the Democratic ticket be all male?No | buy | 148.44 | $0.968 | $143.69 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Biden removed via 25th Amendment?No | sell | 109 | $0.940 | $102.46 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday?Trump | sell | 192.5 | $0.980 | $188.62 | Jul 20, 2024 |
 CrowdStrike outage fixed by Friday night?Yes | buy | 58.24 | $0.860 | $50.09 | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 170.82 | $0.085 | $14.52 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday?Trump | buy | 72.5 | $0.276 | $20 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Will Collin Morikawa win the British Open?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jul 16, 2024 |
 Will Xander Schauffele win the British Open?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jul 16, 2024 |
 Will Jon Rahm win the British Open?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.049 | $4.9 | Jul 16, 2024 |
 Will Brooks Koepka win the British Open?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 16, 2024 |
 Will Cameron Smith win the British Open?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jul 16, 2024 |
| Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday?Trump | buy | 120 | $0.690 | $82.8 | Jul 15, 2024 |
 Will Jude Bellingham be Euro 2024 top scorer?No | sell | 182.81 | $0.896 | $163.73 | Jul 14, 2024 |
 Nigel Farage next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.019 | $3.8 | Jul 13, 2024 |
| Will Jude Bellingham be Euro 2024 top scorer?No | buy | 182.82 | $0.908 | $166 | Jul 13, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.030 | $6 | Jul 13, 2024 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.041 | $4.1 | Jul 12, 2024 |
 Democratic Blitz primary?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.280 | $28 | Jul 12, 2024 |
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jul 11, 2024 |
 15+ Dem House reps call Biden to drop out by Friday?No | buy | 40.54 | $0.740 | $30 | Jul 11, 2024 |
| Biden removed via 25th Amendment?No | buy | 109 | $0.940 | $102.46 | Jul 11, 2024 |
 Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?No | sell | 244 | $0.410 | $100.04 | Jul 10, 2024 |
| Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?No | buy | 244 | $0.420 | $102.48 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Will Elena Rybakina win Wimbledon Women's?Yes | sell | 173.91 | $0.540 | $93.91 | Jul 10, 2024 |
| Will Elena Rybakina win Wimbledon Women's?Yes | buy | 173.91 | $0.460 | $80 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Will another player win Wimbledon Women's?Yes | sell | 170.54 | $0.560 | $95.5 | Jul 10, 2024 |
| Will another player win Wimbledon Women's?Yes | buy | 170.55 | $0.599 | $102.13 | Jul 10, 2024 |
 Copa America: Argentina vs. CanadaArgentina | buy | 100.55 | $0.850 | $85.47 | Jul 9, 2024 |
| Nigel Farage next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jul 8, 2024 |
| Nigel Farage next Conservative party leader?Yes | buy | 72.13 | $0.069 | $5 | Jul 8, 2024 |
 Spain vs. France - Who will advance?Spain | sell | 181.04 | $0.550 | $99.57 | Jul 8, 2024 |
| Spain vs. France - Who will advance?Spain | buy | 110 | $0.580 | $63.8 | Jul 7, 2024 |
 Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?No | sell | 113.63 | $0.440 | $50 | Jul 7, 2024 |
| Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.440 | $50 | Jul 6, 2024 |