Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 87.9%. Yes opened at 11% on 10 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2024 to 12 Jul 2024, the highest close was 87.9% on 12 Jul 2024 and the lowest 11% on 10 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 57 points up, to 87.9% on 12 Jul 2024. $32.41K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 3:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 10 Jul 2024 – 12 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2024 | 11.0% |
| 12 Jul 2024 | 87.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Apologin | No | 108.05 |
| display.name-882 | No | 0.53 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 15 or more Democratic US House members calls on Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential race by July 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times official count, found here: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/biden-drop-out-democrats.html. If at any point it shows 15 or more on the tracker, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." If it doesn't show 15 or more by the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No." If information from the New York Times page is rendered unavailable for over 24 hours, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to resolve this market using the same criteria as the New York Times.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/15-democratic-house-members-demand-biden-drop-out-by-friday
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