Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 71.5%. Yes opened at 24% on 29 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 29 Jun 2024 to 21 Jul 2024, the highest close was 88% on 19 Jul 2024 and the lowest 18.5% on 17 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 54.5% on 18 Jul 2024. $1.55M traded over the market's life.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 8:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 29 Jun 2024 – 21 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jun 2024 | 24.0% |
| 21 Jul 2024 | 71.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WillemDafoe | No | 20.26K |
| Benjaminng | No | 18.47K |
| pcottle | No | 11.63K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race before the start of the Democratic National Convention (DNC), currently scheduled for Aug 19, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". The start of the DNC is defined as 12:01 AM ET on the first scheduled day of the convention. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-before-the-democratic-national-convention
| No |
| 7.85K |
| moonkist | No | 5.27K |
| Firm-Square | No | 5.06K |
| Catlover255 | No | 4.38K |
| Loyal-Group | No | 3.92K |
| uzi111 | No | 3.21K |
| woleo | No | 2.91K |
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