Latest trade
Dec 10, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:43 AM UTC.
Analytics
longrisk is down $228.85 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 10, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 2:43 AM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 15 trades covered 8 markets; 53.3% were buys. They run from Oct 9, 2025 UTC to Dec 10, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Yes | sell | 68.54 | $0.033 | $2.26 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-03 01:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 02:43 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
15 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 02:43 UTC
polymarket positions
9 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-03 01:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
0% of them closed in profit.
The largest loss was $93 on “Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Dec 2025. It has traded 8 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 3.5K |
| $0.002 |
| $7 |
| Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | sell | 222.22 | $0.300 | $66.67 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 312.12 | $0.180 | $56.18 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.015 | $0.6 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 255.63 | $0.013 | $3.44 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 312.12 | $0.320 | $100 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.450 | $100 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.029 | $100 | Oct 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 255.63 | $0.078 | $20 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Yes | buy | 68.55 | $0.292 | $20 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.037 | $10 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.