Latest trade
Sep 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:04 AM UTC.
Analytics
Cobalt Signal 5C23 is down $3.95K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 11, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:04 AM UTC.
$242.67 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 31 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Jul 16, 2026 UTC to Sep 11, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 400 | $0.608 | $368 | +$124.7 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.720 | $360.13 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 01:52 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 06:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 06:04 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-11 10:28 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.36K and losing ones cost $8.48K across the latest 50 settled positions. 40% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $213.29 on “Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?” (No); the largest loss, $1.05K on “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?” (No).
It first traded on 24 Feb 2026 and most recently on 11 Sep 2026. It has traded 800 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.82K across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 400 |
| $0.620 |
| $366 |
| +$118 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? | No | 400 | $0.760 | $356 | +$52 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 330 | $0.830 | $319.44 | +$45.54 |
 Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.729 | $160.5 | -$58.2 |
 Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 147.44 | $0.930 | $147 | +$9.88 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | No | 108 | $0.930 | $106.87 | +$6.43 |
| sell |
| 500 |
| $0.930 |
| $465 |
| Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | sell | 1K | $0.691 | $691.22 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 2.5K | $0.992 | $2.48K | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 6.5K | $0.985 | $6.4K | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.729 | $364.37 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.729 | $218.7 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 399.8 | $0.680 | $271.86 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.620 | $248 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 400 | $0.608 | $243.3 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.789 | $789 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 17.9 | $0.963 | $17.24 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 19 | $0.963 | $18.3 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 19 | $0.963 | $18.3 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 18.8 | $0.963 | $18.1 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 19 | $0.963 | $18.3 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 19.2 | $0.963 | $18.49 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.963 | $17.33 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 19 | $0.963 | $18.3 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 33.28 | $0.670 | $22.3 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 19.2 | $0.963 | $18.49 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.45 | $0.670 | $3.65 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.930 | $465 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.985 | $591 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 96.61 | $0.963 | $93.04 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.970 | $485 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 330 | $0.830 | $273.9 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 361.26 | $0.670 | $242.04 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.900 | $360 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 250 | $0.610 | $152.5 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.907 | $1.36K | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.890 | $445 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 115.82 | $0.939 | $108.76 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 500 | $0.968 | $484 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.979 | $244.82 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 227 | $0.978 | $222.01 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.972 | $340.09 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.969 | $290.7 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.966 | $289.77 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.977 | $488.59 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.959 | $239.66 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 67.13 | $0.939 | $63.04 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | buy | 14.54 | $0.924 | $13.43 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | buy | 485.46 | $0.924 | $448.57 | Jul 19, 2026 UTC |
 Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.980 | $49 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
| Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 40.05 | $0.980 | $39.25 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.976 | $390.47 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 300 | $0.520 | $156 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.