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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 81.04K | $0.990 | $80.92K | +$688.85 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.83K | $0.390 | $715.6 | 11h ago |
|
| No |
| 90.12K |
| $0.766 |
| $77.05K |
| +$8.01K |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 44.44K | $0.913 | $43.09K | +$2.5K |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 30K | $0.500 | $22.79K | +$7.79K |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 25.23K | $0.638 | $21.55K | +$5.44K |
 Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | No | 9.48K | $0.900 | $9.47K | +$934.17 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 10K | $0.870 | $9.35K | +$650 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 30K | $0.500 | $7.22K | -$7.79K |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 11.11K | $0.500 | $5.61K | +$55.56 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.29K | $0.438 | $4.88K | +$807.97 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.8K | $0.825 | $3.76K | +$621.85 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 7.07K | $0.534 | $3.29K | -$488.36 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 5.06K | $0.386 | $2.71K | +$754.56 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 10K | $0.250 | $2.55K | +$50.3 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 15.72K | $0.240 | $2.28K | -$1.49K |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.28K | $0.780 | $2.26K | +$481.16 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.08K | $0.965 | $2.07K | +$57.24 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 810.3 | $0.400 | $429.46 | +$105.34 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 222 | $0.280 | $9.99 | -$52.17 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 12.22 | $0.460 | $7.94 | +$2.32 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 188.17 | $0.100 | $6.3 | -$12.51 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 0.47 | $0.342 | $0.45 | +$0.28 |
| buy |
| 5.04K |
| $0.580 |
| $2.93K |
| 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.03K | $0.420 | $850.92 | 11h ago |
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 839.51 | $0.185 | $155.51 | 4d ago |
 49ers vs. RaidersRaiders | buy | 11.4K | $0.500 | $5.7K | 12d ago |
| 49ers vs. RaidersRaiders | buy | 34.01K | $0.600 | $20.41K | 12d ago |
 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesLos Angeles Dodgers | buy | 46.47K | $0.130 | $6.04K | 12d ago |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves | buy | 484.73 | $0.520 | $252.06 | 12d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsColorado Rockies | buy | 11.63K | $0.110 | $1.28K | 12d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals | sell | 22.22K | $0.850 | $18.89K | 12d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals | buy | 33.75K | $0.750 | $25.32K | 12d ago |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals | buy | 33.84K | $0.700 | $23.69K | 12d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 110.67K | $0.060 | $6.64K | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 110.67K | $0.060 | $6.64K | 21d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 46.15K | $0.917 | $42.31K | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 5.48K | $0.340 | $1.86K | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 13.08K | $0.319 | $4.18K | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 10.56K | $0.014 | $147.32 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 6.49K | $0.980 | $6.36K | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 20.83K | $0.230 | $4.79K | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 31.93K | $0.220 | $7.03K | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 5.09K | $0.220 | $1.12K | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 13.65K | $0.220 | $3K | 28d ago |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a creeper?Yes | buy | 175.56 | $0.975 | $171.22 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 23.66K | $0.160 | $3.79K | 29d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.2K | $0.520 | $2.7K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | buy | 9.48K | $0.900 | $8.54K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?No | buy | 4.62K | $0.002 | $9.23 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?No | buy | 4.9K | $0.940 | $4.61K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 3.51K | $0.897 | $3.15K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?No | buy | 4.23K | $0.843 | $3.57K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 3.16K | $0.781 | $2.47K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.440 | $1.1K | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 51.94K | $0.780 | $40.52K | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 610.4 | $0.770 | $470.01 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.49K | $0.363 | $5.27K | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.03K | $0.306 | $1.23K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.700 | $0.81 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 25.38K | $0.990 | $25.13K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 6.95K | $0.527 | $3.67K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 10.17K | $0.426 | $4.33K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 5.52K | $0.398 | $2.2K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.97K | $0.658 | $2.61K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.19K | $0.609 | $1.94K | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 15.72K | $0.240 | $3.77K | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.21K | $0.700 | $14.84K | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.27K | $0.822 | $3.51K | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsCleveland Guardians | buy | 10.29 | $0.420 | $4.32 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 25K | $0.001 | $25 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 11.32K | $0.639 | $7.23K | Jul 20, 2026 |