Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 17.23 | $0.940 | $16.2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
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xnorris is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,184,177 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$24.28 observed lifetime PnL, 50 resolved positions, a 76.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x6aeba6ba6081e2b08d58091fbe32a5f87f4d77f7
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| sell |
| 22.54 |
| $0.671 |
| $15.12 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 22.54 | $0.979 | $22.07 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.984 | $10.46 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.985 | $10.48 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 5.98 | $0.041 | $0.25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.38 | $0.710 | $0.98 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown | sell | 9.49 | $0.990 | $9.4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown | buy | 8.41 | $0.950 | $7.99 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETDown | buy | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown | buy | 15.79 | $0.980 | $15.48 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown | buy | 9.56 | $0.940 | $8.99 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 27.51 | $0.890 | $24.48 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.830 | $4.16 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.900 | $4.72 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.27 | $0.900 | $20.04 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 5.99 | $0.870 | $5.21 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No | sell | 30.78 | $0.987 | $30.38 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No | buy | 30.78 | $0.956 | $29.43 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 7.98 | $0.950 | $7.58 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?No | buy | 13.76 | $0.979 | $13.47 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 13.52 | $0.860 | $11.63 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 24.27 | $0.880 | $21.36 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?No | buy | 12.62 | $0.984 | $12.42 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No | buy | 2.87 | $0.995 | $2.86 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.998 | $3.5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.840 | $5.27 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?No | buy | 5.31 | $0.993 | $5.27 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 21.04 | $0.830 | $17.46 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.993 | $6.45 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 9?No | buy | 16.1 | $0.998 | $16.07 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.52 | $0.840 | $2.96 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.880 | $1.03 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by November 30?No | buy | 2.87 | $0.930 | $2.67 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.52 | $0.630 | $2.22 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.877 | $4.7 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No | buy | 10.28 | $0.983 | $10.11 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 12.83 | $0.990 | $12.7 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.929 | $3.02 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 2.4 | $0.939 | $2.25 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.942 | $1.29 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.985 | $6.91 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 8.2 | $0.760 | $6.23 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.47 | $0.940 | $4.2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.73 | $0.940 | $3.51 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 6.26 | $0.969 | $6.07 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by October 15?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.999 | $1.72 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.995 | $6.29 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 9.1 | $0.968 | $8.81 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer by October 10?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.999 | $3.23 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.