Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.960 | $4 | May 11, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 4.13 |
| $0.968 |
| $4 |
| May 11, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will "180" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 7.26 | $0.960 | $6.97 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Lakers vs. PacersLakers | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.84 | $0.994 | $6.8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 5.74 | $0.930 | $5.34 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.968 | $2.54 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will there be between 200k and 210k initial jobless claims during the week ending February 7, 2026?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.970 | $3.22 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 5.98 | $0.966 | $5.78 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.991 | $6 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 5?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.995 | $3.54 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Moonbirds FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 50.76 | $0.985 | $50 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Canucks vs. FlyersCanucks | buy | 183 | $0.450 | $82.35 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 220.61 | $0.736 | $162.37 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 226.88 | $0.903 | $204.87 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No | buy | 57.51 | $0.985 | $56.65 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 113.45 | $0.881 | $100 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 113.44 | $0.882 | $100 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >4000 BTC purchase October 7-13?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Heather Humphreys win by 15–20%?No | buy | 3.93 | $0.993 | $3.9 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.988 | $3.12 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 35–40 million views on Friday at noon?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.997 | $3.65 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.950 | $3.56 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Edmundo González return to Venezuela by October 31?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.989 | $4 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.930 | $4.23 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,200 October 6-12?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $136,000 October 6-12?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Damascus by September 15?No | buy | 4.48 | $0.940 | $4.21 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet between 800 and 849 times September 1–30?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers by September 15th?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.983 | $3.12 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 10?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $350 in September?No | buy | 3.29 | $0.983 | $3.23 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by September 30?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.930 | $4.23 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 4.27 | $0.986 | $4.21 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Another MrBeast Twitch livestream by September 30?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Linea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.53 | $0.977 | $4.43 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG II' have over 160k sales in its first week?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.970 | $3.12 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Justin Bieber holds 2 top 10 spots on Billboard Hot 100 for week of September 13th?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.998 | $4.23 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. Out by September 30?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.970 | $5.3 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.920 | $5.55 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.911 | $6.86 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.940 | $4.76 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.969 | $5.6 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.990 | $6 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before August?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jul 5, 2025 |