Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 42% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 1 Nov 2025, the highest close was 42% on 8 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 31 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 4.4% on 9 Oct 2025. $19.32K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 1 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 42.0% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4.98K |
| Kraken12 | Yes | 1.69K |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 224 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If Edmundo González Urrutia returns to Venezuela between October 7 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "return" is defined as Edmundo González physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not González enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-edmundo-gonzlez-return-to-venezuela-by-october-31
| Yes |
| 217.39 |
| alfremism | Yes | 138.7 |
| TnTG | Yes | 85.42 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 24 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 16 |
| proud47 | Yes | 13.38 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 11 |
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