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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.5 | $0.952 | $0.49 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.984 | $20.66 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 41 |
| $0.814 |
| $33.37 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 8 | $0.953 | $7.62 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 32.5 | $0.952 | $30.94 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 24 | $0.795 | $19.08 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 35 | $0.975 | $34.13 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.560 | $33.6 | May 30, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 44 | $0.690 | $30.36 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.953 | $15.25 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 49 | $0.752 | $36.85 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.757 | $37.09 | May 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.350 | $27.3 | May 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.370 | $28.86 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.280 | $6.44 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?No | sell | 3 | $0.991 | $2.97 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.990 | $1.37 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?No | buy | 12 | $0.988 | $11.86 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.986 | $11.83 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 12 | $0.987 | $11.84 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok?No | buy | 13 | $0.944 | $12.27 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No | sell | 12 | $0.988 | $11.86 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No | buy | 12 | $0.989 | $11.87 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?No | buy | 14 | $0.984 | $13.78 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?No | sell | 13 | $0.977 | $12.7 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.008 | $0.45 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?No | buy | 16 | $0.978 | $15.65 | Apr 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days?No | buy | 15 | $0.992 | $14.88 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.009 | $0.7 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 17 | $0.988 | $16.8 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?No | sell | 17 | $0.993 | $16.88 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.833 | $16.66 | Apr 2, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.833 | $16.66 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?No | buy | 17 | $0.965 | $16.41 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?No | buy | 17 | $0.985 | $16.75 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will George Russell win the 2025 China Grand Prix?No | buy | 14 | $0.932 | $13.05 | Mar 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.070 | $0.42 | Mar 23, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 21-28?No | sell | 12 | $0.980 | $11.76 | Mar 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 21-28?No | buy | 12 | $0.979 | $11.75 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.036 | $0.29 | Mar 9, 2025 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.035 | $0.7 | Mar 9, 2025 |