Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5% on 6 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 421 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2025 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 9.3% on 27 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.3 points up, to 8.8% on 22 Aug 2025. $418.82K traded over the market's life.
195 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 421 points, 6 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2025 | 5.0% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.27M |
| Vulcan1 | Yes | 10.4K |
| xlefgerx | Yes | 6.75K |
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes 2,000,000 or more non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2025
| Tioedwardo | Yes | 3.88K |
| ItsAllFake | Yes | 3.09K |
| Indigo Maven 1ABE | Yes | 2.5K |
| Joglis | Yes | 2.19K |
| halabaz | Yes | 2.16K |
| morilun | Yes | 2K |
| HaxXXxaH | Yes | 1.71K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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