Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 141.7 | $0.700 | $126.82 | +$27.63 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?No | buy | 100.8 | $0.799 | $80.54 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 311.36 |
| $0.270 |
| $96.52 |
| +$12.45 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 117.92 | $0.513 | $95.52 | +$35.05 |
 Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m? | No | 101.52 | $0.700 | $88.32 | +$17.26 |
 Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | No | 174.6 | $0.338 | $88.17 | +$29.12 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | No | 100.8 | $0.799 | $79.13 | -$1.41 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | Yes | 240 | $0.207 | $78 | +$28.29 |
 Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | Yes | 175 | $0.280 | $67.38 | +$18.38 |
| Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? | No | 185.41 | $0.243 | $49.13 | +$4.09 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | No | 64.18 | $0.630 | $34.98 | -$5.46 |
 Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 243.56 | $0.061 | $31.18 | +$16.28 |
 Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? | No | 85.23 | $0.240 | $25.14 | +$4.69 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 52.8 | $0.138 | $16.63 | +$9.32 |
| buy |
| 185.41 |
| $0.243 |
| $45.04 |
| 2d ago |
| Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No | buy | 174.6 | $0.338 | $59.05 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 167.2 | $0.191 | $31.87 | 3d ago |
 Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?No | sell | 208.98 | $0.090 | $18.81 | 3d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 141.7 | $0.700 | $99.19 | 4d ago |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Yes | buy | 175 | $0.280 | $49 | 4d ago |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?No | buy | 101.52 | $0.700 | $71.06 | 4d ago |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.207 | $49.71 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 220 | $0.138 | $30.45 | 4d ago |
| Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 243.56 | $0.135 | $32.92 | 5d ago |
 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?No | sell | 53.21 | $0.720 | $38.33 | 6d ago |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?No | sell | 90.6 | $0.724 | $65.57 | 6d ago |
| Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | sell | 112.1 | $0.780 | $87.44 | 6d ago |
| Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 469.46 | $0.061 | $28.56 | 9d ago |
| Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 112.1 | $0.523 | $58.58 | 9d ago |
 Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?No | sell | 30.42 | $0.770 | $23.42 | 10d ago |
 Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?Yes | sell | 75.63 | $0.916 | $69.28 | 10d ago |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate primary by 3–6%?No | sell | 61 | $0.960 | $58.56 | 10d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | sell | 191.07 | $0.999 | $190.88 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 58.08 | $0.670 | $38.91 | 12d ago |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?No | buy | 311.36 | $0.270 | $84.07 | 12d ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?No | sell | 63.81 | $0.790 | $50.41 | 17d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?No | sell | 63.8 | $0.790 | $50.4 | 17d ago |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 111.82 | $0.340 | $38.02 | 18d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 65.97 | $0.621 | $40.94 | 20d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?No | buy | 127.61 | $0.590 | $75.29 | 20d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?No | buy | 111.05 | $0.630 | $69.96 | 20d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.239 | $64.66 | 20d ago |
| Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?No | buy | 85.23 | $0.240 | $20.46 | 23d ago |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?No | buy | 103.78 | $0.270 | $28.02 | 23d ago |
| Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.940 | $56.4 | 23d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 63.57 | $0.961 | $61.09 | 23d ago |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?No | buy | 143.81 | $0.458 | $65.8 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 29.07 | $0.857 | $24.91 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 29.06 | $0.857 | $24.9 | 24d ago |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 79.25 | $0.421 | $33.37 | 24d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?No | buy | 138.73 | $0.750 | $104.05 | 24d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 63.56 | $0.810 | $51.48 | 25d ago |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate primary by 3–6%?No | buy | 61 | $0.630 | $38.43 | 26d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?No | buy | 64.18 | $0.630 | $40.43 | 26d ago |
 Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Yes | sell | 23.45 | $0.457 | $10.72 | 26d ago |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Yes | sell | 23.45 | $0.471 | $11.04 | 26d ago |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Yes | sell | 15.63 | $0.413 | $6.46 | 26d ago |
 Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.71 | $0.870 | $9.32 | 27d ago |
 Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.99 | $0.972 | $5.82 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.540 | $43.2 | 28d ago |
| Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.29 | $0.876 | $45.78 | 28d ago |
| Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?Yes | buy | 75.63 | $0.459 | $34.75 | 28d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 58 | $0.881 | $51.12 | 28d ago |