Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.43 | $0.954 | $0.42 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.935 | $45.82 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 57.95 |
| $0.019 |
| $1.1 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.020 | $2.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.800 | $50.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.790 | $49.77 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.140 | $8.68 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.790 | $44.24 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.032 | $1.79 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.028 | $4.06 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 92 | $0.370 | $34.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 92 | $0.370 | $34.04 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.610 | $31.72 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.620 | $11.78 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.880 | $21.12 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.835 | $20.04 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.022 | $2.07 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.760 | $47.88 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.068 | $4.69 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.280 | $14.28 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 23 | $0.954 | $21.94 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.500 | $11 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.985 | $44.33 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.987 | $22.7 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.974 | $40.91 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.790 | $43.45 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.013 | $0.49 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 157 | $0.013 | $2.04 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 5 | $0.936 | $4.68 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.032 | $0.16 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Inter Milan win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 6 | $0.962 | $5.77 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship?No | sell | 6 | $0.939 | $5.63 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 3 | $0.978 | $2.93 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.978 | $5.87 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 7 | $0.754 | $5.28 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport less than 250,000?No | buy | 7 | $0.751 | $5.26 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 13 | $0.976 | $12.69 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 13 | $0.976 | $12.69 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.036 | $0.4 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.036 | $1.37 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.984 | $12.79 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.980 | $12.74 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 13 | $0.979 | $12.73 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 13 | $0.983 | $12.78 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 13 | $0.988 | $12.84 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 5 | $0.933 | $4.67 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 5 | $0.983 | $4.92 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.957 | $4.79 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 2025 May hottest on record?No | buy | 5 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 23–30?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.005 | $0.44 | May 27, 2025 |