Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 619.57 |
| $0.040 |
| $24.78 |
| Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?Yes | buy | 569.57 | $0.070 | $39.87 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 214.29 | $0.070 | $15 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 4?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.231 | $57.74 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.130 | $32.5 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.470 | $50 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" this week?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?Yes | sell | 896.66 | $0.006 | $4.93 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?Yes | buy | 486.67 | $0.010 | $5 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.010 | $20 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Pena vs. HarrisonPena | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.280 | $30 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | sell | 68.21 | $0.230 | $15.69 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 81.22 | $0.200 | $16.24 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 68.22 | $0.279 | $19 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.29K | $0.007 | $9.03 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 2–9?Yes | buy | 100.24 | $0.050 | $5 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on April 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.110 | $15.71 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on April 27?Yes | buy | 53.8 | $0.743 | $40 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on April 27?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.330 | $9.9 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on April 27?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on April 27?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on April 27?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.585 | $5.85 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.033 | $9.9 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on April 26?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.989 | $40.55 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 25–May 2?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.008 | $10 | Apr 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.064 | $10 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on April 26?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.340 | $13.94 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on April 13?Yes | buy | 53.45 | $0.524 | $28 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 67°F or higher on April 13?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on April 13?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on April 13?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on April 11?Yes | buy | 21.92 | $0.228 | $5 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "President Xi" during his cabinet meeting on April 10?Yes | buy | 11.09 | $0.631 | $7 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "China" 10+ times during his cabinet meeting on April 10?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Make a Deal" during his cabinet meeting on April 10?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase tariffs on China by Friday?Yes | sell | 32.89 | $0.281 | $9.23 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase tariffs on China by Friday?Yes | buy | 32.89 | $0.152 | $5 | Apr 9, 2025 |