Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jul 4, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$827.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 4, 2025 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 4 Jul 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 59.5%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 28 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 28 Jun 2025 to 4 Jul 2025, the highest close was 59.5% on 4 Jul 2025 and the lowest 9.5% on 28 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 39.5% on 3 Jul 2025. $827.01K traded over the market's life.

67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 12:25 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Jun 2025 – 4 Jul 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Jun 2025	9.5%
4 Jul 2025	59.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	257.86K
noahcc	No	8.71K
GayPride	No	2.5K
tradeee15235	No	2.26K

10 of 67 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between June 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and June 27, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk