Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 6 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 211 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 8% on 9 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Dec 2025. $324.78K traded over the market's life.
145 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 211 points, 6 Jun 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2025 | 6.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrosenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 4.07K |
| jctrelles | Yes | 2K |
| 0xFe35 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, between June 5, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-announce-presidential-run-in-2025
| Yes |
| 1.11K |
| Horrible-Storm | Yes | 744.75 |
| Charles666 | Yes | 597.62 |
| Machiaveli | Yes | 500 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| Pep2007 | Yes | 405 |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 342.86 |
| summasummarum | Yes | 320.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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