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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.96 | $0.043 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 158 | $0.480 | $75.84 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 158 |
| $0.490 |
| $77.42 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 78 | $0.650 | $50.7 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 14.54 | $0.660 | $9.6 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 132 | $0.480 | $63.36 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 132 | $0.480 | $63.36 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.024 | $1.06 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.023 | $1.01 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 157 | $0.022 | $3.45 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 157 | $0.028 | $4.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 83 | $0.860 | $71.38 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.600 | $43.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | sell | 192 | $0.190 | $36.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 192 | $0.180 | $34.56 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.100 | $8.2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.760 | $25.08 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.045 | $3.55 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 84 | $0.114 | $9.58 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 185 | $0.115 | $21.28 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.051 | $6.83 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.046 | $3.22 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 188 | $0.090 | $16.92 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 188 | $0.090 | $16.92 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.999 | $74.93 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 43.7 | $0.997 | $43.57 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.038 | $1.48 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.039 | $6.01 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.043 | $0.54 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 52.43 | $0.043 | $2.25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.350 | $63 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.340 | $61.2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.987 | $46.39 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.550 | $51.15 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.982 | $18.66 | May 31, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.520 | $68.12 | May 31, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 131 | $0.520 | $68.12 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 8 | $0.777 | $6.22 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 127 | $0.560 | $71.12 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 127 | $0.580 | $73.66 | May 30, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.014 | $1.43 | May 29, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.014 | $1.9 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 53.44 | $0.390 | $20.84 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 89 | $0.580 | $51.62 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 42.84 | $0.580 | $24.85 | May 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.879 | $46.59 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.156 | $4.84 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 5 | $0.974 | $4.87 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.790 | $33.97 | Nov 26, 2025 |