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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 79.42 | $0.262 | $11.48 | -$9.36 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.472 | $6.21 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 12.69 |
| $0.394 |
| $6.38 |
| +$1.38 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.43 | $0.530 | $4.95 | -$0.05 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $3.82 | -$1.18 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 6.06 | $0.165 | $0.68 | -$0.32 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 17.62 | $0.210 | $0.29 | -$3.41 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 15.28 | $0.065 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 2.54 | $0.590 | $0.17 | -$1.33 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 205 | $0.015 | $0.1 | -$2.9 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | No | 3.13 | $0.320 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
| buy |
| 56.82 |
| $0.440 |
| $25 |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 19.8 | $0.101 | $2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 68.09 | $0.262 | $17.84 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
 LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonFnatic | buy | 6.62 | $0.302 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOUD | buy | 4.67 | $0.428 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsT1 | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 5.86 | $0.512 | $3 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 70.59 | $0.142 | $10 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.35 | $0.319 | $10 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?Yes | buy | 23.8 | $0.200 | $4.76 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-04-26?Yes | buy | 14.3 | $0.066 | $0.94 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.760 | $0.99 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.370 | $4 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.420 | $0.97 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.550 | $0.96 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.365 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 10.03 | $0.399 | $4 | Apr 26, 2026 |