Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USD1 depeg by December 31? | Yes | 203.88 | $0.050 | $12.23 | +$2.04 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.999 | $65.93 | 9d ago |
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| buy |
| 1.9 |
| $0.993 |
| $1.89 |
| 22d ago |
Over $100M committed to the RipCars public sale?No | buy | 27 | $0.997 | $26.92 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will STRC hit $100 by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.995 | $46.77 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in June?No | buy | 67 | $0.999 | $66.93 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 18 above $7.50?No | buy | 33.02 | $0.999 | $32.99 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 66 | $0.999 | $65.93 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No | buy | 54.99 | $0.999 | $54.94 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on March 20?No | buy | 19.5 | $0.999 | $19.48 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 32.3 | $0.999 | $32.27 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Apple dip to $208 in February?No | buy | 54.6 | $0.998 | $54.49 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.998 | $77.84 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Artemis II launch by February 7?No | buy | 56 | $0.999 | $55.94 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 25.23 | $0.997 | $25.15 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 25.15 | $0.988 | $24.85 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Will no leader be out in 2025?No | buy | 43.85 | $0.996 | $43.67 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 24.68 | $0.988 | $24.38 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 25.12 | $0.982 | $24.67 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 34.67 | $0.998 | $34.6 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on May 6?Down | buy | 14.6 | $0.959 | $14 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?No | buy | 114 | $0.999 | $113.89 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Ripple above $2.45 on March 14?No | buy | 12.25 | $0.997 | $12.21 | Mar 14, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?No | sell | 15.33 | $0.968 | $14.84 | Mar 6, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?No | buy | 15.33 | $0.900 | $13.8 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk tweet less than 300 times February 7-14?No | buy | 21.26 | $0.988 | $21 | Feb 8, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 21.23 | $0.989 | $21 | Feb 2, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Jan 17-24?No | buy | 12.32 | $0.966 | $11.9 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?No | buy | 85.87 | $0.999 | $85.78 | Jan 17, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | buy | 1.78K | $0.001 | $1.78 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Will Solana hit $300 in December?No | buy | 30 | $0.995 | $29.85 | Dec 28, 2024 |
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?No | buy | 29.88 | $0.996 | $29.76 | Dec 18, 2024 |
Base airdrop in 2024?No | buy | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | Dec 7, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?No | buy | 87.12 | $0.999 | $87.03 | Nov 30, 2024 |
Will Trump tweet 40-49 times Nov 15-22?No | buy | 87.03 | $0.999 | $86.94 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will Trump tweet 30-39 times Nov 8-15?No | buy | 86.95 | $0.994 | $86.43 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times November 8-15?No | buy | 86.42 | $0.999 | $86.33 | Nov 13, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times November 8-15?No | buy | 26.46 | $0.998 | $26.41 | Nov 11, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 34.93 | $0.992 | $34.65 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Trump in jail before election day?No | buy | 23.35 | $0.997 | $23.28 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet 150-174 times October 18-25?No | buy | 23.28 | $0.999 | $23.26 | Oct 21, 2024 |
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 21.6 | $0.999 | $21.58 | Oct 5, 2024 |
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?No | buy | 20.57 | $0.981 | $20.18 | Oct 5, 2024 |
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?No | buy | 20.49 | $0.974 | $19.96 | Oct 2, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet 175-199 times?No | buy | 41.76 | $0.998 | $41.68 | Oct 2, 2024 |
MetaMask airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.997 | $3.08 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Farcaster airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 21.1 | $0.997 | $21.04 | Sep 24, 2024 |
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times?No | buy | 61.45 | $0.999 | $61.39 | Sep 23, 2024 |
Trump posts 5-9 times on X?No | buy | 61.39 | $0.999 | $61.33 | Sep 1, 2024 |
Trump posts between 10 and 14 times on X?No | buy | 61.33 | $0.999 | $61.27 | Aug 26, 2024 |
Trump posts 50-99 times on X?No | buy | 61.27 | $0.998 | $61.15 | Aug 22, 2024 |