Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 10 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 3.5% on 10 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Oct 2024. $52.24K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 10 Sep 2024 – 1 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2024 | 3.5% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wintertonrafel | Yes | 111.93 |
| titchundefinedehotf | Yes | 110 |
| elizabethiva | Yes | 102 |
| wellskelly | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farcaster launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between September 8 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Farcaster team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-by-september-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| katiejames | Yes | 25 |
| dehuixiang | No | 15.15 |
| nesmxoa | Yes | 0.36 |
| Courageous-Original | No | 0.1 |
| ytdmgwiv | No | 0.05 |
| dd6fztpx9nlt | No | 0.04 |
