Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 16% on 28 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 28 Sep 2024 to 2 Oct 2024, the highest close was 16% on 28 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.9% on 2 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 0.9% on 2 Oct 2024. $944.71K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 9:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 28 Sep 2024 – 2 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2024 | 16.0% |
| 2 Oct 2024 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.59K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 953.02 |
| Sharp. | Yes | 399.99 |
| 98989 | Yes | 383.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between September 27 and October 4.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-sept-27-oct-4
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Xurad | Yes | 120 |
| SZdegen | Yes | 100 |
| chicho | Yes | 45.45 |
| kaii | Yes | 42.87 |
| flowsxla | Yes | 2.63 |
| domikpsa | No | 0.02 |
