Latest trade
Sep 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:20 AM UTC.
Analytics
Elastic-Satire is down $646.22 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 22 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:20 AM UTC.
$20 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Jan 9, 2026 UTC to Sep 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 512.82 | $0.390 | $135.9 | -$64.1 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.032 | $1.88 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-19 08:37 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 11:20 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 11:20 UTC
polymarket positions
24 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-19 08:37 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $391.38 and losing ones cost $957.6 across 22 settled positions. 45.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $203.46 on “Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?” (No); the largest loss, $360 on “Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Sep 2026. It has traded 29 markets. Its open positions are worth $286.72 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 258.53 |
| $0.387 |
| $133.01 |
| +$33.01 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 238.1 | $0.420 | $10.6 | -$89.4 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 122.07 | $0.409 | $6.71 | -$43.29 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.280 | $0.5 | -$4.5 |
| buy |
| 128.78 |
| $0.388 |
| $50 |
| Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 129.75 | $0.385 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 512.82 | $0.390 | $200 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.350 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 286 | $0.350 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 295.48 | $0.338 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.290 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.200 | $8.33 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.24 | $0.670 | $35 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.75 | $0.785 | $21 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.21 | $0.785 | $19 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 52.45 | $0.744 | $39 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 49.35 | $0.608 | $30 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.420 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 107.01 | $0.430 | $46.02 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 95.43 | $0.207 | $19.73 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 3.38 | $0.290 | $0.98 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 35.66 | $0.330 | $11.77 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 63.04 | $0.310 | $19.54 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 34.63 | $0.560 | $19.39 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 33.46 | $0.580 | $19.41 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 34.63 | $0.560 | $19.39 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 30.88 | $0.630 | $19.46 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 32.37 | $0.600 | $19.42 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 28.72 | $0.680 | $19.53 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 28.32 | $0.690 | $19.54 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETDown | sell | 228.32 | $0.990 | $226.04 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETDown | buy | 104.09 | $0.960 | $99.93 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETDown | buy | 123.4 | $0.800 | $98.72 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 12.47 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
 NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 11?Down | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 232.5 | $0.500 | $116.25 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 38.75 | $0.500 | $19.38 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.36K | $0.008 | $20 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 2K | $0.010 | $20 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 122.07 | $0.410 | $50 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.25 | $0.432 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 141.03 | $0.142 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.250 | $21 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 157.14 | $0.134 | $21 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.