Latest trade
Apr 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:03 PM UTC.
Analytics
Elrouge is down $17.72 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 21 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 2:03 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 46 trades covered 38 markets; 84.8% were buys. They run from Nov 16, 2024 UTC to Apr 2, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
77.6% from three wins
Its three largest wins made up this share of all gains across 21 settled positions.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.850 | $1.06 | Apr 2, 2026 UTC |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-21 11:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
13 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 14:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
46 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 14:03 UTC
polymarket positions
23 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-02 16:15 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $16.8 and losing ones cost $33.82 across 21 settled positions. 42.9% of them closed in profit. The three largest wins account for 77.6% of all gains.
The largest win was $6.13 on “Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?” (Yes); the largest loss, $19 on “Will Carson Beck win the Heisman Trophy?” (Yes).
It first traded on 16 Nov 2024 and most recently on 2 Apr 2026, 201 days ago. It has traded 38 markets. Its open positions are worth $13.45 across 13 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.62 |
| $0.618 |
| $1.44 |
| +$0.44 |
 Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | $3,000 | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
 Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | No | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
 Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $0.92 | -$0.08 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 8.2 | $0.122 | $0.7 | -$0.3 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.55 | $0.282 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.47 | $0.680 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 2.09 |
| $0.479 |
| $1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.96 | $0.251 | $0.99 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.618 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$3,000 | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.122 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.97 | $0.252 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.282 | $1 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.999 | $6.65 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.142 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?Yes | buy | 3.88 | $0.258 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
 Spread: Indiana (-7.5)Miami | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will New England beat Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?Yes | sell | 20.05 | $0.009 | $0.18 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will New England beat Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?Yes | buy | 20.05 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Carson Beck win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.100 | $19 | Sep 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.320 | $1.28 | Apr 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.086 | $2.53 | Apr 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Nov 21, 2024 UTC |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Nov 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Nov 19, 2024 UTC |
 Texans vs. CowboysTexans | sell | 1.29 | $0.998 | $1.29 | Nov 19, 2024 UTC |
 Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Nov 19, 2024 UTC |
| Texans vs. CowboysTexans | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Nov 18, 2024 UTC |
 Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.105 | $1 | Nov 17, 2024 UTC |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
| Will Jayden Daniels win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
 Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.499 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
 Will Cam Ward win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.