Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.4%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 3 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 203 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2025 to 20 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 6 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 27 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 1.7% on 11 Jul 2025. $747.66K traded over the market's life.
164 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 203 points, 3 Jul 2025 – 20 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2025 | 49.5% |
| 20 Jan 2026 | 25.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 216.51K |
| Cblast | Yes | 26.98K |
| rivermarkets | Yes | 22.14K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins the 2026 College Football National Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the College Football National Championship based on the rules of the NCAA (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NCAA Football, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/college-football-champion-2026-684
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| allpinkynobrain | Yes | 11.23K |
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 8.01K |
| TraderBackwards | Yes | 7.81K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 6.92K |
| BigPlayer | Yes | 6.81K |
| Cobalt Harbor 98E6 | Yes | 5.64K |
| zeusgodbets | Yes | 4.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
