Analytics
Gain/loss breakdown unavailable for the returned position data.
IceLightning is down $6.52K on Polymarket.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.069 | $2.39 | +$1.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 15:17 UTC
Polymarket public position response
18 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 16:44 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 16:44 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
It has traded 6,755 markets. Its open positions are worth $10.2 across 18 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 36.45 |
| $0.180 |
| $2.06 |
| -$4.5 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.180 | $1.14 | -$2.46 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.090 | $1.1 | -$0.7 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 20.43 | $0.206 | $0.99 | -$3.23 |
 Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | Yes | 14.76 | $0.175 | $0.64 | -$1.94 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.180 | $0.5 | -$1.3 |
 Brex IPO before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.083 | $0.34 | -$2.98 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | Yes | 12.6 | $0.015 | $0.26 | +$0.07 |
 Glean IPO before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $0.22 | -$2.78 |
 Rippling IPO before 2027? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.110 | $0.16 | -$0.23 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 32.1 | $0.104 | $0.14 | -$3.19 |
 Celonis IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1 | $0.150 | $0.08 | -$0.07 |
 Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? | Yes | 2.29 | $0.076 | $0.06 | -$0.11 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.74 | $0.060 | $0.06 | +$0.01 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 5.51 | $0.055 | $0.04 | -$0.27 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 4.98 | $0.033 | $0.02 | -$0.15 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 0.81 | $0.180 | $0 | -$0.15 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
