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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | sell | 27.77 | $0.890 | $24.72 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 130 |
| $0.099 |
| $12.81 |
| Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 114.43 | $0.175 | $20 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.830 | $4.52 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | buy | 168.2 | $0.030 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?No | buy | 14.32 | $0.782 | $11.2 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Sam Altman arrested before July?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.850 | $4.9 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Senate control after 2024 election?Democrats | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jun 1, 2024 |
 Will Dallas Mavericks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?Yes | buy | 14.53 | $0.344 | $5 | Jun 1, 2024 |