Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 64% on 27 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 187 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 81% on 28 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 41% on 10 Oct 2024. $176.02K traded over the market's life.
161 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 4:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 187 points, 27 Sep 2024 – 1 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2024 | 64.0% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.4% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI shifts from its current capped-profit corporation structure to a for-profit model by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any form of fully for-profit organization—including a Benefit Corporation (B-Corp), Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), or a modification to its existing structure to remove profit caps—will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. If the OpenAI non-profit relinquishes control over the for-profit business, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement indicating that OpenAI is merely considering the shift will not suffice; the change must officially occur. The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-openai-become-a-for-profit-business-before-april-2025
| MJGspice | Yes | 530.14 |
| PeterEnis | Yes | 332.94 |
| jakesunil | No | 163.93 |
| untoshi | Yes | 147.14 |
| tkchanal | Yes | 144.44 |
| 9to5er | Yes | 81.97 |
| BFDB | Yes | 78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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