Analytics
hopedieslast has made $260.13K on Polymarket, #794 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 89.5K | $0.475 | $77.86K | +$35.35K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 03:59 UTC
Polymarket public position response
24 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 06:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 06:58 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-02 19:14 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $730.63K and losing ones cost $463.83K across the latest 50 settled positions. 66% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $56.82K on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?” (No); the largest loss, $60.81K on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?” (No).
It has traded 259 markets. Its open positions are worth $364.81K across 24 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 72.45K |
| $0.832 |
| $62.67K |
| +$2.37K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 47.59K | $0.929 | $47.14K | +$2.91K |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 45.5K | $0.811 | $38.9K | +$1.99K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 34.82K | $0.921 | $32.9K | +$815.07 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 28.7K | $0.827 | $23.1K | -$637.43 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 16K | $0.851 | $14.46K | +$836.06 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 13.17K | $0.895 | $13.04K | +$1.26K |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 10.1K | $0.900 | $9.45K | +$356.85 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 8.95K | $0.926 | $8.91K | +$625.55 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 9K | $0.891 | $8.06K | +$35.06 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 9.04K | $0.840 | $7.73K | +$134.16 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 97.33K | $0.346 | $6.33K | -$27.39K |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.85K | $0.451 | $6.24K | +$1.79K |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 2K | $0.820 | $1.76K | +$120 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 1.77K | $0.850 | $1.53K | +$26.58 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 1.81K | $0.832 | $1.51K | +$5.64 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.810 | $1.49K | +$278.25 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 966.67 | $0.604 | $855.5 | +$272.11 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 14.12K | $0.148 | $360.13 | -$1.73K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 231.96 | $0.430 | $205.29 | +$105.55 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 267.45 | $0.450 | $147.1 | +$26.75 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.52K | $0.016 | $99.39 | +$11.05 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | No | 64.2 | $0.890 | $59.06 | +$1.93 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
