Analytics
SirHarryOakes has made $47.08K on Polymarket, #3,838 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.26K | $0.905 | $14.74K | +$932.48 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 22:39 UTC
Polymarket public position response
20 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 01:56 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 01:56 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-05 12:25 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $51K and losing ones cost $17.12K across the latest 50 settled positions. 82% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $4.26K on “Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?” (No); the largest loss, $6.61K on “Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?” (Yes).
It has traded 315 markets. Its open positions are worth $91.93K across 20 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 14.72K |
| $0.679 |
| $13.76K |
| +$3.76K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 12.14K | $0.915 | $11.47K | +$357.92 |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.95K | $0.913 | $10.02K | +$19.84 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.46K | $0.806 | $8.94K | +$1.31K |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 10.31K | $0.835 | $8.2K | -$410.86 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 7.35K | $0.805 | $6.43K | +$512.32 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 7.5K | $0.800 | $6.41K | +$413.86 |
 Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 4.86K | $0.825 | $3.98K | -$22.57 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | No | 6.29K | $0.489 | $2.83K | -$247.93 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.29K | $0.874 | $2.2K | +$201.78 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.13K | $0.882 | $1.04K | +$36.89 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 720.5 | $0.694 | $543.98 | +$43.98 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | No | 533.68 | $0.940 | $531.27 | +$29.65 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 468.95 | $0.863 | $415.02 | +$10.46 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 211.64 | $0.945 | $206.03 | +$6.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 138.65 | $0.911 | $119.24 | -$7.03 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 203.4 | $0.483 | $93.05 | -$5.19 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat? | Yes | 1.38 | $0.890 | $1.26 | +$0.03 |
 Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.860 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
